Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 100.624549 115.466092 132.945197 155.381868 183.922637 2.197503e+02 269.382970
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 86.974448 107.415885 134.467786 174.389259 234.758168 3.285466e+02 500.423223
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 73.916663 95.121846 125.143249 173.450775 255.558512 4.053965e+02 757.090428
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 65.302657 86.586162 118.267499 172.798112 274.909003 4.904999e+02 1146.994135
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 58.148421 78.759438 110.574302 168.174336 284.600414 5.629771e+02 1660.752795
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 53.098983 73.274521 105.437743 166.422540 299.018104 6.592134e+02 2602.244455
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 49.526928 69.558920 102.492372 167.836031 320.932177 7.998940e+02 4771.217239
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 45.597051 64.791621 97.006539 162.943892 325.863848 8.936224e+02 8059.378901
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 44.245636 64.060830 98.450451 172.576202 373.408717 1.232111e+03 39432.566496
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 41.209780 60.180787 93.620574 167.488599 376.929199 1.377026e+03 182592.265649
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 39.229902 57.921413 91.532450 168.196081 399.286168 1.695281e+03 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 37.204252 55.401395 88.639041 166.411911 412.959689 2.010590e+03 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 36.216924 54.795702 89.743176 175.632329 476.897829 3.198665e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 36.340510 56.231246 95.257222 198.427255 623.968300 8.473195e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 34.504187 53.842450 92.398044 197.282158 660.291980 1.356638e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 32.891008 51.732114 89.868332 196.491771 700.096328 2.462713e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 31.115667 49.171858 86.053285 190.905150 707.671896 3.874208e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 29.731867 47.269111 83.510002 188.792311 737.936687 9.136381e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 28.704419 45.984953 82.228228 190.496957 799.811626 9.884466e+05 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 27.319285 43.900732 78.887063 184.602857 798.975448 8.635468e+07 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 27.008718 43.931791 80.500482 196.223273 966.919305 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 25.792092 42.051525 77.349656 190.077835 962.361660 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 25.011485 41.013510 76.150401 190.931385 1035.986278 NaN NaN